https://w3id.org/sciencelive/np/RAErLL_QSe3e0pKBxHkUHH5v49F66fFVuS2OmYMJz02OY/Head https://w3id.org/sciencelive/np/RAErLL_QSe3e0pKBxHkUHH5v49F66fFVuS2OmYMJz02OY http://www.nanopub.org/nschema#hasAssertion https://w3id.org/sciencelive/np/RAErLL_QSe3e0pKBxHkUHH5v49F66fFVuS2OmYMJz02OY/assertion https://w3id.org/sciencelive/np/RAErLL_QSe3e0pKBxHkUHH5v49F66fFVuS2OmYMJz02OY http://www.nanopub.org/nschema#hasProvenance https://w3id.org/sciencelive/np/RAErLL_QSe3e0pKBxHkUHH5v49F66fFVuS2OmYMJz02OY/provenance https://w3id.org/sciencelive/np/RAErLL_QSe3e0pKBxHkUHH5v49F66fFVuS2OmYMJz02OY http://www.nanopub.org/nschema#hasPublicationInfo https://w3id.org/sciencelive/np/RAErLL_QSe3e0pKBxHkUHH5v49F66fFVuS2OmYMJz02OY/pubinfo https://w3id.org/sciencelive/np/RAErLL_QSe3e0pKBxHkUHH5v49F66fFVuS2OmYMJz02OY http://www.w3.org/1999/02/22-rdf-syntax-ns#type http://www.nanopub.org/nschema#Nanopublication https://w3id.org/sciencelive/np/RAErLL_QSe3e0pKBxHkUHH5v49F66fFVuS2OmYMJz02OY/assertion https://doi.org/10.1126/science.aax8591 http://purl.org/spar/cito/hasQuotedText Increasing frequency of hotter temperatures predicts species’ local extinction risk, chances of colonizing a new area, and changing species richness. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.aax8591 http://www.w3.org/2000/01/rdf-schema#comment This sentence defines the mechanism our replication projects forward in time: temperatures exceeding species’ historical thermal tolerances drive local extinction, colonization, and richness change. The original study validated this retrospectively for 66 Bombus species in North America and Europe (~50 km, monthly). We test its transferability to the Iberian Peninsula under SSP3-7.0 using DestinE Climate DT output (~5 km, daily). https://w3id.org/np/o/ntemplate/CREATOR http://purl.org/spar/cito/quotes https://doi.org/10.1126/science.aax8591 https://w3id.org/sciencelive/np/RAErLL_QSe3e0pKBxHkUHH5v49F66fFVuS2OmYMJz02OY/provenance https://w3id.org/sciencelive/np/RAErLL_QSe3e0pKBxHkUHH5v49F66fFVuS2OmYMJz02OY/assertion http://www.w3.org/ns/prov#wasAttributedTo https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1784-2920 https://w3id.org/sciencelive/np/RAErLL_QSe3e0pKBxHkUHH5v49F66fFVuS2OmYMJz02OY/pubinfo https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1784-2920 http://xmlns.com/foaf/0.1/name Anne Fouilloux https://w3id.org/sciencelive/np/RAErLL_QSe3e0pKBxHkUHH5v49F66fFVuS2OmYMJz02OY http://purl.org/dc/terms/created 2026-05-11T17:42:43.119Z https://w3id.org/sciencelive/np/RAErLL_QSe3e0pKBxHkUHH5v49F66fFVuS2OmYMJz02OY http://purl.org/dc/terms/creator https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1784-2920 https://w3id.org/sciencelive/np/RAErLL_QSe3e0pKBxHkUHH5v49F66fFVuS2OmYMJz02OY http://purl.org/dc/terms/license https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ https://w3id.org/sciencelive/np/RAErLL_QSe3e0pKBxHkUHH5v49F66fFVuS2OmYMJz02OY http://purl.org/nanopub/x/hasNanopubType http://purl.org/spar/cito/cites https://w3id.org/sciencelive/np/RAErLL_QSe3e0pKBxHkUHH5v49F66fFVuS2OmYMJz02OY http://purl.org/nanopub/x/wasCreatedAt https://platform.sciencelive4all.org https://w3id.org/sciencelive/np/RAErLL_QSe3e0pKBxHkUHH5v49F66fFVuS2OmYMJz02OY http://www.w3.org/2000/01/rdf-schema#label Paper annotation: Increasing frequency of hotter temperatures predicts species’ local extinction risk, chances of colonizing a new area, and changing species richness. https://w3id.org/sciencelive/np/RAErLL_QSe3e0pKBxHkUHH5v49F66fFVuS2OmYMJz02OY https://w3id.org/np/o/ntemplate/wasCreatedFromTemplate https://w3id.org/np/RA24onqmqTMsraJ7ypYFOuckmNWpo4Zv5gsLqhXt7xYPU https://w3id.org/sciencelive/np/RAErLL_QSe3e0pKBxHkUHH5v49F66fFVuS2OmYMJz02OY/sig http://purl.org/nanopub/x/hasAlgorithm RSA https://w3id.org/sciencelive/np/RAErLL_QSe3e0pKBxHkUHH5v49F66fFVuS2OmYMJz02OY/sig http://purl.org/nanopub/x/hasPublicKey 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 https://w3id.org/sciencelive/np/RAErLL_QSe3e0pKBxHkUHH5v49F66fFVuS2OmYMJz02OY/sig http://purl.org/nanopub/x/hasSignature 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 https://w3id.org/sciencelive/np/RAErLL_QSe3e0pKBxHkUHH5v49F66fFVuS2OmYMJz02OY/sig http://purl.org/nanopub/x/hasSignatureTarget https://w3id.org/sciencelive/np/RAErLL_QSe3e0pKBxHkUHH5v49F66fFVuS2OmYMJz02OY https://w3id.org/sciencelive/np/RAErLL_QSe3e0pKBxHkUHH5v49F66fFVuS2OmYMJz02OY/sig http://purl.org/nanopub/x/signedBy https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1784-2920