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https://w3id.org/sciencelive/np/RA_uV84IchQAkkmCP_6amQir_flgCmvvt97DWIDmbu_V0/phillips-table2-maxent-outcome
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https://w3id.org/sciencelive/np/RA_uV84IchQAkkmCP_6amQir_flgCmvvt97DWIDmbu_V0/phillips-table2-maxent-outcome
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Target-group background improves MaxEnt AUC — Phillips Table 2 reproduced
https://w3id.org/sciencelive/np/RA_uV84IchQAkkmCP_6amQir_flgCmvvt97DWIDmbu_V0/phillips-table2-maxent-outcome
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The reproduction confirms Phillips et al. 2009 Table 2: target-group background improves the mean predictive AUC of presence-only MaxEnt models. Across 225 species in six regions, mean AUC rises from 0.7163 with random background to 0.7468 with target-group background, a gain of +0.0305. This closely matches Phillips' reported Maxent gain of +0.0293 (0.7276 to 0.7569) in both direction and magnitude, despite using the independent open-source elapid/maxnet engine rather than the original Java Maxent. Phillips' secondary finding that the gain is largest where sampling bias is greatest also reproduces: the Canadian region (CAN), the most biased, shows the largest gain.
https://w3id.org/sciencelive/np/RA_uV84IchQAkkmCP_6amQir_flgCmvvt97DWIDmbu_V0/phillips-table2-maxent-outcome
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Overall mean AUC: random 0.7163, target-group 0.7468, delta +0.0305 (Phillips Maxent: 0.7276, 0.7569, delta +0.0293). Paired Wilcoxon signed-rank test of target-group vs random per-species AUC: statistic 8028.0, p = 1.6e-06 (significant at p < 0.001). Per-region deltas: CAN +0.1317 (largest, 20 species), SWI +0.0394 (30), AWT +0.0451 (40), NSW +0.0184 (53), NZ +0.0135 (52), SA -0.0146 (30, the only region where target-group background did not help). The largest gain falls on CAN, the region flagged as most sampling-biased, reproducing Phillips' bias-gradient result.
Github: https://github.com/annefou/sdm-phillips-reproduction
https://w3id.org/sciencelive/np/RA_uV84IchQAkkmCP_6amQir_flgCmvvt97DWIDmbu_V0/phillips-table2-maxent-outcome
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(1) The MaxEnt engine differs from Phillips' original (elapid/maxnet vs Java Maxent), so absolute AUC decimals differ even though direction and magnitude agree.
(2) Only MaxEnt is reproduced; Phillips' broader Table 2 also covered BRT, MARS, GAM and other methods, so the cross-method generality of the claim is not tested here.
(3) 225 of Phillips' 226 species are modelled — one species was dropped because its presence-absence evaluation column had no presence/absence variation, leaving AUC undefined.
(4) A minimum-presence threshold of 5 occurrences was applied.
(5) One region (SA) showed a small negative gain, consistent with the original's observation that the benefit is not uniform across regions.
https://w3id.org/sciencelive/np/RA_uV84IchQAkkmCP_6amQir_flgCmvvt97DWIDmbu_V0/phillips-table2-maxent-outcome
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Anne Fouilloux
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2026-05-31T08:19:45.828Z
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Target-group background improves MaxEnt AUC — Phillips Table 2 reproduced
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